Changeable and still generally unsettled after the wettest July ever but hope on the horizon – Thursday 3rd August 2023 – Sunday 6th August 2023

Hi all,

Good riddance to July. What a truly dreadful month. The stats say it all.

Preston managed 302% of the July average rainfall whereas for us it was 232%. It was more like Autumn with numerous areas of low pressure powered by the Jet Stream and this is clearly shown with the average pressure reading.

Stats from my weather station in Chadderton – only 4 dry days & a deluge
Stats from the Met Office – highlights NW England well as one of the soggy spots.
Sunshine stats from the Met Office.
Temperature stats from the Met Office.
Wind stats from the Met Office.
UK mean temperature (July) stats from the Met Office.
Met Office quote regarding NW England’s wettest July ever.

Thursday: The low that brought Wednesday’s rain will have moved away to the east allowing a cooler N-to-NW’ly airflow develop across the region. This will drag down some scattered showers, some heavy. Windy at times with sunny spells in between. Max 18°C Min 11°C

Friday: A similar day but with slightly less windy conditions and showers eventually fading and being confined to eastern parts. Max 17°C Min 10°C

Weekend: Details a little uncertain.

Saturday: It was looking like another wet weekend day with low pressure arriving, but, the latest suggests that this will now slip south of us. Therefore the current thinking is bright spells and thundery showers and particularly cool and windy. With details uncertain for Saturday, look out for updates on Twitter. Max 14°C Min 9°C

Saturday could be a washout. All depends where this low tracks.

Sunday: A strong and gusty westerly wind transporting in another scattering of showers, perhaps heavy with hail and thunder. Max 16°C Min 11°C

Outlook: The first few days sees little change but then signs are there for high pressure to build in the Atlantic then move across the UK. This will bring drier and sunnier conditions, something we haven’t seen for a long time. The issue is, this looks like it will only last 3-4 days at best before we return to an unsettled theme. That said, sometimes a high pressure can really build and lock itself upon us for a while, so fingers crossed we see something we can call summer again. Depending on how long the high can last and what direction the wind flows from, will determine how warm we’ll get. Watch this space.

High pressure on the way?

July 2023 Stats

Max 26.1°C (7th)
Min 8.8°C (25th)
Av. 15.6°C
Wettest 27.2mm (23rd)
Av. Barometer 1009.5 hPa
Max Gust 30mph
Av. Wind Direction WSW
Rain 205.2mm (232% of average)
Rain Registered Days 27
Dry Days 4

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 2nd of August 2023 at 10am.
Images: Met Office & www.wxcharts.com

Jon Baylis
Author: Jon Baylis

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