Unsettled at times – Thursday 29th June 2023 – Sunday 2nd July 2023

Hi all,

June, UK-wise, is set to be the warmest (hottest!) on record despite the month ending with temperatures down and fresher days around. I’ll post some statistics next week to see how it fairs locally to the previous Junes.

There are winners and losers when it’s hot and humid. Some of you love it but personally it’s too much, especially when trying to sleep. So I’m grateful of the recent fresher conditions, although some days have still been muggy despite the cloud and drizzle. I do miss the sun however and that’s making a return on Thursday.

There isn’t any sign over the next two weeks of a heatwave returning, but, long-term model runs suggest a warming mid-July; but of course we take that with a pinch of salt at this range. Meanwhile, next week will see the Jet Stream bringing weather systems in off the Atlantic so rain will be around at times.

Remember, when sunny, the UV levels are still HIGH or VERY HIGH.

Fresher air this weekend.

Thursday: A fresh start but a sunny one. Fair-weather cloud will bubble up during the day with just the low risk of an isolated shower. Quite breezy and feeling fresher after a couple of days of muggy air. Max 18°C Min 10°C

Friday: Bright start then cloud will once again thicken and spread in from the west. Patchy drizzle is likely later in the afternoon with patchy rain arriving into the evening. Turning reasonably humid once again, therefore a warm night. Max 18°C Min 15°C

Weekend: Low pressure drives the weather.

Low pressure to bring a showery theme this weekend, especially on Saturday.

Saturday: Low pressure will bring a day of bright spells and showers. It will be windy with 30mph gusts. Later in the day there could well be a more prolonged spell of rain. Fresher. Max 18°C Min 12°C

Sunday: Windy once more, locally gusting to 35mph. Mostly cloudy with the odd shower. Max 17°C Min 12°C

Maximums temperatures over the weekend and into next week are much lower than we’ve been used to over the last few weeks.

Outlook: Little change into the start of the week and that looks to be the norm for the first 10 days of July; windy, showery and temperatures about average or below. There is some support in the models for the latter part of the 2nd week of July to turn very warm or hot once again. This is certainly not set in stone and as always subject to change at this range but as you’ve seen it’s prompted the media to start posting about 40°C and days upon days of a heatwave. This for now, is nothing but clickbait.

Above average temps close by over in the near continent as we enter week 2 of July. Will we see this pattern later in the month?

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts and warnings.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 28th of June 2023 at 5:40pm.

Images: www.wxcharts.com & www.theweatheroutlook.com

Jon Baylis
Author: Jon Baylis

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